Monday, August 18, 2008
Just wondering....
Chip Towers expresses the rarity that a team ranked #1 in the AP pre-season poll will go on to win the National Championship by stating that only 10 of the 57 previous #1's went on to win it all (@ 17.5%). I wonder how many #2's have won it all. Or #3's for that matter. My guess is that the #1 spot has won it more than any other....so who cares if there is only a 1 in 5 shot. Better than starting the season #12 and having a 1 in 57 shot.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
1 comment:
I would absolutely think the #1 team would win it more than any other pre-season ranking. Like golf before Tiger Woods, the favorite in the field would be unlikely to win the tournament, but he'd certainly be more likely than everyone else.
That aside, the sad thing is is that it matters where you are pre-season. With the SOS disparity, it is almost impossible to tell the worthy teams from the unworthy. Hawaii/UGA illustrate the point. Everyone knows UGA was the toughest team they faced, what was incredible was everyone on UGA's schedule would've been the toughest team they had faced.
That level of inequity demands a playoff, and of course we don't have one, so pre-season rankings start to actually matter.
Post a Comment